Friday, September 8, 2023

A guy being interviewed on TV

 

 

He made the point that he was 74, and the average life expectancy of an American male was 76, so he could only expect a couple more years.  Self-serving B.S.  This year I’ll be 78.  By his measure, by my birthday, I’ll have a life expectancy of -2.  It might be a true statement that the average life expectancy of an American male born today is 76, but given this guy had already attained the age of 74, his expectations from there are something completely different.  Every time we achieve another year, we get a new life expectancy.  Take all the people that have already died by that age out of the equation, and his average life expectancy at 74 is now 86.  Besides, it’s an average expectancy, not a specific prediction.

 

Real data, intentionally misapplied, to mislead.  Grr.

 

 

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