Not for the people
watching migrants, but for the birds themselves.
If we look at Windy.com,
it shows the wind direction and speed. It looks like this:
We’re focused on the
southern tip of Texas. The arrows indicate the direction the wind is
blowing. The length of the arrows indicates speed. For migrants
making the 600-mile crossing of the Gulf of Mexico from the Yucatan Peninsula,
a tailwind is a good thing. Less effort to get across the water. A
safer trip.
The best conditions for
bird watching are for there to be a strong wind from the north. That
means that all the birds that make it across the Gulf will be exhausted and
will stop and rest at the first sight of land. That’s where we get to see
them. South Padre Island is the closest spot to here, but it happens all
up and down the Texas Coast and over into Florida.
You can get a live reading
on Windy here:
https://www.windy.com/?28.527,-94.955,7
If you click the link,
there should be an animation running. You can see how the air is moving
throughout the region. On the bottom of the screen is a list of
days. If we click on each day, we can scroll through the projected wind
for the next two weeks. It doesn’t change at all. Nothing but
tailwind and happy birds. No fronts. No major shifts. No
north winds.
The busiest days for
migration are usually the last week of April and the first week of May.
As far as good conditions for the watchers, it doesn’t look like that’s going
to happen this year. There will still be migrants to see on the coast,
but probably not any massive fallouts with migrants landing in overwhelming
numbers.
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